Read that sentence again and consider which team you want to bet on.įor the past four years, the Jazz have been easy to solve, and once they’ve been solved in a playoff series, that series has turned dramatically. If the Jazz are going to win this, Danuel House and Jordan Clarkson have to have heavy minutes and have great games. They don’t have the personnel to get stops, so it’s going to have to be offense. The Jazz are going to have to win this game on the strength of their offense.
Mitchell is probable to play, which is admirable. Jazz Need Epic Games From Unlikely Sources The Mavericks, to their credit, have them pretty well figured out.Īll the Mavericks need to do is stick to the game plan, hit shots (which admittedly can be tough on the road), and exploit their edges and they should be able to wrap this up. There just aren’t a lot of good options for them. The Jazz have given up 1.2 points per possession trying to play at the level vs. That’s been their preferred tactic and boy is it bad. Utah can’t send two at the level against Doncic either. Before Doncic returned, the Mavericks did a great job at targeting Mitchell in pick-and-roll.ĭoncic has been a little bold with his target choices, but if they have to go for it, they can. Mitchell is expected to play - he has been switch bait when healthy, and now he’s banged up. The Jazz can’t switch in pick-and-roll, either. You don’t want to give him this many options. The numbers are actually good in a short amount in this series, but look at how much room Doncic has in space on this play.
MAVS VS JAZZ SCORE PLUS
The Jazz can’t drop in pick-and-roll against Doncic, he’ll eat them alive with floaters and short jumpers, plus the lob, despite Utah being excellent in that coverage. The situation got worse with Luka Doncic on the court. Jalen Brunson has been absolute molten lava in this series, hitting everything. Those are high percentage opportunities that they are absolutely blistering on. Maxi Kleber is 3-of-5 on uncontested 3’s in this series, Dorian Finney-Smith is 4-of-9. This is a “ lightly contested” look for example. Now, make or miss league aside, this does hide some of the mechanics involved. And when the Mavs won, they’ve shot extremely hot. When the Jazz have lost games, they created better looks but just weren’t able to hit water if they fell out of a boat. What’s interesting is that in the three Mavericks wins, Dallas has created worse looks on catch-and-shoot shots than Utah based on expected field goal percentage (factoring shooter, contest level, and location per Second Spectrum data provided to Action Network).Ĭatch-and-Shoot Opportunities in Mavericks Wins - Round 1 Overall, the Mavs are creating roughly the same quality of looks as the Jazz for the series. The Jazz are averaging 13.6 per Synergy Sports. Mavericks Have Multiple Matchup Advantagesĭallas is getting 28.8 points per game in this series off spot-up 3-pointers. Have the Jazz been figured out? Is this the end of an era? And how can we profit from it? Let’s bet Mavericks-Jazz. Now, with the line fluctuating after conflicting Mitchell injury news, the question becomes one not of tactical adjustments, but of a team’s collective will. The Dallas Mavericks wiped the Jazz off the court in Game 5. They thought they might have had such a moment in Game 4 after a thrilling comeback win off a go-ahead lob from Donovan Mitchell to Rudy Gobert.īut the surge was short-lived. This game feels like that moment for the Utah Jazz. Some games present turning points for franchises.
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